BoC: Patience on hikes despite oil shock – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to hold its policy rate at 2.25% through 2026 before returning to a 2.75% neutral level in 2027 via 25 bp hikes in January and March.
The Bank of Canada's decision to maintain the policy rate at 2.25% despite the oil shock may lead to a stabilization in the Canadian dollar. However, the anticipated hikes in 2027 could support a gradual strengthening of CAD against other currencies.
TD Securities strategists expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to hold its policy rate at 2.25% through 2026 before returning to a 2.75% neutral level in 2027 via 25 bp hikes in January and March.
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