British Pound: Growth slowdown and BoE tightening – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas economists expect United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to slow to 0.7% in 2026 from 1.4% in 2025, with quarterly expansion dropping to about 0.1%. Inflation is projected to re-accelerate to 3.6% before easing only slightly.
The British Pound is likely to weaken as GDP growth slows and inflation re-accelerates, leading to potential bearish sentiment in the forex market. Traders may react to the anticipated tightening by the Bank of England, causing further downward pressure on the currency.
BNP Paribas economists expect United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to slow to 0.7% in 2026 from 1.4% in 2025, with quarterly expansion dropping to about 0.1%. Inflation is projected to re-accelerate to 3.6% before easing only slightly.
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