China: Supportive policy but slower growth – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas economists note Chinese GDP growth at 5.0% year-on-year in Q1 2026, after 5% in 2025, and expects a moderate slowdown in 2026. They highlight a K-shaped pattern with strong exports but weak domestic demand and ongoing property sector stress.
The slower growth forecast for China may lead to a bearish sentiment in the forex markets, particularly affecting currencies tied to Chinese economic performance. Expect downward pressure on the yuan as concerns over domestic demand and property sector stress persist.
BNP Paribas economists note Chinese GDP growth at 5.0% year-on-year in Q1 2026, after 5% in 2025, and expects a moderate slowdown in 2026. They highlight a K-shaped pattern with strong exports but weak domestic demand and ongoing property sector stress.
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