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LOW IMPACT ForexLive · May 12, 03:39 AM

investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Oil and the USD held firm, US-Iran pessimism

What are investment banks expecting in US April inflation data? (It ain't pretty) Alphabet plans first yen bond sale to fund $190 billion AI spending push Recap - Japan and US reaffirm currency cooperation after Bessent's Tokyo talks Australian business confidence remains deeply pessimistic, -24 in April (prior -29) PBOC sets USD/ CNY central rate at 6.8426 (vs. estimate at 6.7945) Katayama says two-hour Bessent talks covered forex, critical minerals and AI Trump weighs return to combat as Iran

OIL
SIGNALPRO AI · WHAT'S LIKELY TO HAPPEN
BEARISH 75% confidence

The pessimism surrounding US inflation data may lead to increased volatility in forex markets, particularly affecting the USD. Oil prices are likely to remain firm due to geopolitical tensions and supply concerns.

AI-generated analysis. For educational purposes only — not financial advice.

What are investment banks expecting in US April inflation data? (It ain't pretty) Alphabet plans first yen bond sale to fund $190 billion AI spending push Recap - Japan and US reaffirm currency cooperation after Bessent's Tokyo talks Australian business confidence remains deeply pessimistic, -24 in April (prior -29) PBOC sets USD/ CNY central rate at 6.8426 (vs. estimate at 6.7945) Katayama says two-hour Bessent talks covered forex, critical minerals and AI Trump weighs return to combat as Iran nuclear talks falter, CNN reports Trump delays beef tariff cut after rancher and Republican pushback Bessent heads to Tokyo pressing Japan on yen weakness and intervention BOJ 'Summary" - Japan rate hike back on table as BOJ signals next move still likely upward Japan March household spending fell 2.9% y/y (expected -1.5%, prior -1.8%) New Fed Chair Warsh could be locked in as soon as Tuesday UK consumer spending falls for first time since 2024 as Iran war bites Goldman Sachs pushes Fed rate cut forecast to December 2026 ICYMI - JPMorgan warns of $150 oil and 4% inflation as energy crisis deepens S&P 500 could hit 8,000 HSBC strategists say The latest Trump pump: US to loan 53.3 million barrels from Strategic Petroleum Reserve investingLive Americas FX news wrap 11 May: Markets stall as Iran tensions simmer UAE carried out covert strikes on Iran as Gulf war escalated, WSJ report says At a glance: Oil and the USD held firm as US-Iran pessimism deepened; Trump said the ceasefire is "on life support" on Monday, with CNN reporting he is now more seriously considering a return to major combat operations, frustrated by the Hormuz closure and stalled nuclear talks The Bank of Japan held rates at its April meeting but its Summary of Opinions, published Tuesday, warned that upside inflation risks are rising, with several members flagging possible hikes as soon as the next meeting Australian business confidence edged up to -24 in April from -29 in March but remained deeply negative, with conditions falling to their lowest since 2020 as energy costs squeezed margins, NAB data showed Japan and the US reaffirmed close coordination on currency markets, including intervention, after Finance Minister Katayama met Treasury Secretary Bessent in Tokyo; Bessent is expected to meet Prime Minister Takaichi before his visit concludes Wednesday Japan's Nikkei remained supported but South Korea's KOSPI pulled back sharply after touching an all-time high just below 8,000, as investors used Middle East uncertainty as a cue to book profits Oil and the US dollar held firm on Tuesday as sentiment over the US-Iran conflict darkened further. Trump described the ceasefire as on life support on Monday, and CNN reported that he is now more seriously weighing a return to major combat operations, frustrated by the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the lack of meaningful progress in nuclear negotiations. His national security team met at the White House on Monday to review options, though a major decision is not expected before the president's departure for China. The Bank of Japan kept its policy rate unchanged at its April meeting, but the Summary of Opinions published on Tuesday struck a notably hawkish tone, with board members warning that upside inflation risks are growing as crude oil prices surge. Several members flagged the possibility of a rate hike as soon as the next meeting. In Australia, business confidence remained deeply depressed in April despite a marginal recovery to -24 from -29 in March, which had represented the second-largest monthly drop in the survey's history. Business conditions fell to their second-lowest reading since 2020, with capital expenditure recording its steepest post-COVID decline as energy costs bit hard into margins. In Tokyo, Finance Minister Katayama confirmed that Japan and the US reaffirmed close coordination on currency markets, including on intervention, following her meeting with Bessent. Both sides said Japan's rece

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