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LOW IMPACT ForexLive · May 5, 02:00 PM

ISM non-manufacturing PMI 53.6 versus 53.7 estimate

Prior month 54.0 Non-manufacturing PMI 53.6 vs 53.7 estimate Business activity 55.9 vs 53.9 last month Employment 48.0 versus 45 point to last month New Orders 53.5 vs 60.6 last month Prices paid 70.7 vs 70.7 last month Supplier deliveries 56.8 versus 56.2 last month. Inventories 53.1 versus 54.8 last month. Backlog of orders 53.0 versus 53.6 last month New export orders 52.1 versus 50.7 last month Import 54.7 versus 55 point to last month Inventory sentiment 55.1 versus 54.3 last month Summary

SIGNALPRO AI · WHAT'S LIKELY TO HAPPEN
BEARISH 75% confidence

The ISM non-manufacturing PMI came in below expectations, indicating a potential slowdown in the services sector. This may lead to a bearish sentiment in the forex market as traders adjust their positions based on weaker economic indicators.

AI-generated analysis. For educational purposes only — not financial advice.

Prior month 54.0 Non-manufacturing PMI 53.6 vs 53.7 estimate Business activity 55.9 vs 53.9 last month Employment 48.0 versus 45 point to last month New Orders 53.5 vs 60.6 last month Prices paid 70.7 vs 70.7 last month Supplier deliveries 56.8 versus 56.2 last month. Inventories 53.1 versus 54.8 last month. Backlog of orders 53.0 versus 53.6 last month New export orders 52.1 versus 50.7 last month Import 54.7 versus 55 point to last month Inventory sentiment 55.1 versus 54.3 last month Summary of the details from the report: 14 industries reported growth in April (vs 13 in March); 3 industries remained in contraction Services PMI: 53.6% – 1.1 points above 12-month average (52.5%) 12-month average: 52.5% – up 0.2 points from March (52.3%) Fourth straight monthly increase in the 12-month average (up from 51.7% in Dec 2025) Prices Index: Flat but above 70 – sustained pressure from higher oil and fuel costs Supplier Deliveries: Slower – 3.9 points above its 12-month average Business Activity, Supplier Deliveries, and Employment increased New Orders: Fell sharply (-7.1 points), offsetting gains in other components Backlogs: Remained in expansion and well above 12-month average (46.4%) Exports and imports: Expanded for third straight month (longest streak since Jul–Oct 2024) Commodities: No items reported down in price Rising prices: Aluminum, copper, lumber, petroleum products, software licensing Commentary: March demand partly driven by front-loading ahead of price increases; less evident in April Energy impact: Petroleum costs not fully passed through yet, suggesting continued elevated price pressures ahead Outlook: Prices Index likely to stay elevated for several months as energy costs filter through supply chains Employment rose but less than 50 once again. New orders fell sharply but still expanding. Prices remain steady. Overall a mixed/as expected report This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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