US international trade for March -$60.3B vs -$60.9B estimate
Prior month $-57.3B Current month -$60.1B vs -$83.49 last month. Estimate -$60.9B Good trade balance -$88.7B increasing the deficit by $4.1 billion from the prior month Services surplus $28.4 billion up $1.6 billion from the prior month Exports $320.9 billion, +2.0% or +$6.2 billion imports $381.2 billion, +2.3% or + $8.7 billion A larger (wider) trade deficit generally subtracts from GDP, while a smaller (narrower) deficit adds to GDP growth. This is because in the GDP calculation, net exports
The wider trade deficit may lead to bearish sentiment in the forex markets as it typically indicates potential GDP contraction. Expect downward pressure on the USD as traders react to the negative implications for economic growth.
Prior month $-57.3B Current month -$60.1B vs -$83.49 last month. Estimate -$60.9B Good trade balance -$88.7B increasing the deficit by $4.1 billion from the prior month Services surplus $28.4 billion up $1.6 billion from the prior month Exports $320.9 billion, +2.0% or +$6.2 billion imports $381.2 billion, +2.3% or + $8.7 billion A larger (wider) trade deficit generally subtracts from GDP, while a smaller (narrower) deficit adds to GDP growth. This is because in the GDP calculation, net exports (exports minus imports) are included, so when imports exceed exports by a greater amount, that gap reduces overall output. Conversely, when the deficit shrinks—either because exports rise or imports fall—the drag on GDP lessens or turns into a positive contribution. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.
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